Artificial Intelligence Integration in NC3: Implications for the Global Nuclear Order

September 9, 2024 | 3:00 pm ET / 12:00 pm PT

IST hosted a side event at the 2024 REAIM Summit in Seoul, South Korea on the intersection of AI and nuclear weapons and its implications for nuclear deterrence and strategic stability.

IST hosted a side event at the REAIM Summit in Seoul, South Korea, moderated by CEO Philip Reiner with panelists Madeline Mortelmans (U.S. Department of Defense), Giacomo Persi Paoli (UNIDIR), Tong Zhao (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace), and Anthony Bak (Palantir Technologies).

The rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning and the incremental integration of AI into nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3) systems signal a new era in military strategy. AI has the potential to revolutionize NC3 systems by processing vast amounts of data quickly and providing decision-makers with real-time strategic recommendations. Advanced algorithms have the potential to enhance decision-making capabilities and early warning systems, support adaptive targeting, and improve response times. While AI offers the possibility to enhance decision-making capabilities and improve response times, it also introduces significant vulnerabilities that could destabilize strategic balances and exacerbate the risks of nuclear conflict. During this session, the panelists unpacked these leading questions:

  • How does the intersection of AI and nuclear weapons impact nuclear deterrence and strategic stability?
  • How does it impact nuclear weapons decision-making?
  • How would integrating AI in NC3 systems impact decision-making timelines?
  • Could the lack of standards for AI integration and adoption lead to miscommunication, misunderstanding, miscalculations, and inadvertent escalation?
  • Given the rapid pace of technological progress of AI, will nuclear-armed states be able to avoid the temptations of more significant and faster integration of AI?

Panelists